Friday, July 24, 2015

Whampoa SMC No More and Moulmein-Kallang GRC Gone

On 14 July 2015, I announced my intention to contest in Whampoa SMC. Ten days later, it was announced that Whampoa SMC will not exist in the next GE. Needless to say, I am disappointed.


The Electoral Boundaries Review Committee report was released on 24 July 2015. Together with Whampoa SMC, both Joo Chiat SMC and Moulmein-Kallang GRC ("MK GRC") will also be dissolved in the next GE. Amidst all the instant cries of gerry-meandering about Joo Chiat SMC, I can only ask: Why Whampoa SMC? Why MK GRC?


I have always considered Whampoa SMC and MK GRC as deserving attention, amongst others, because I have visited many troubled places that fall within this SMC and GRC. Suddenly, they will no longer be around for political contest in the coming GE. Is there a good explanation for this sudden change?


When I first began studying the political demography in Singapore in consultation with some political observers, we saw something that was happening here that was akin to a development in ancient China close to 2,000 years ago. If you are familiar with the story of the Three Kingdoms 三国演义 (AD 220–280), it was a time when China was divided into the states of Wei (), Shu (), and Wu (). 


The political struggle between People's Action Party (PAP) and the Workers' Party (WP) is reaching a point when a 3rd force is set to arise to serve as a counterbalance. This 3rd force is anticipated to come from the constituencies in the south. MK GRC, Potong Pasir SMC, Mountbatten SMC and Whampoa SMC are the potential springboards for the rise of the 3rd force but now only Potong Pasir SMC and Mountbatten SMC are left on the slate. It was as if someone saw the same thing that we had seen and was trying to prevent it from happening.


The Chinese believe that a tripod represents firmness and stability. I entertain the notion that our political arena cannot continue to see a contest between two forces as this will only lead to more instability and disruption. A 3rd mediatory force in our political arena is necessary to assuage and balance the diversity in opinions and to secure the future success of Singapore. I am now left to think about where I could go as an independent candidate now that Whampoa is no more.

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

THEME: Transport Fare hikes


Fares that go up when oil prices come down. Higher and higher COEs, recurring train service disruptions, bus delays and hard-to-get taxis, proliferation of ERP gantries, transport fare hikes, traffic jams and over-packed trains and buses. These issues continue to surface at the elections and the voices are getting louder each time. Let's take a look at fare hikes.


Fare hikes for buses and trains are subject to approval by the Public Transport Council ("PTC") which has a review mechanism that recently won an international award at the 61st UITP World Congrezz & Exhibition in Milan for providing a fair and transparent fare formula to cap the quantum of fare adjustment. This mechanism is meant to ensure that commercial operators cannot simply pass on their costs increases to commuters.  Whilst this ought to provide some assurance that every fare hike approved by the PTC was carefully reviewed before being approved, it does little to calm negative public sentiments. And the problem seems to be a matter of faith.


There are many who do not see the PTC as an impartial body because its council members are appointed by the government and the government is seen as the ultimate owner of the bus and train operators which are earning huge profits each year. This belief was reinforced recently when a fare hike was approved on the basis or rising operating costs in the midst of falling oil prices and the CEO of SMRT appointed by the government in 2012 was paid millions in his remuneration package despite continuing disruptions in train services.


How can we restore the public's faith in the PTC? Perhaps, members of the PTC could be appointed by an independent commission and members of the PTC should include substantial representation from VWOs and commuters. At the same time, any application for fare hikes should not be allowed if the non-technical costs exceed a certain percentage of the total operating costs incurred in the provision of transport services. This idea is somewhat akin to the concept behind the existing 30/70 efficiency ratio in fund raising by charities and institutions of public character in order to qualify for tax exemption on their funds raised.


Efforts directed at maintaining the public's faith in a fair and equitable system for allowing and determining price hikes are necessary. Afterall, there is a strong social element in the provision of public transport services unlike other businesses. The paramount interest of the public transport operators must not be to maximise profits but to provide public transportation at what the public accepts as reasonable and affordable.